Studi literatur tentang pemanfaatan prophet dalam klasifikasi data time series
Keywords:
klasifikasi, deret waktu, facebook prophet, tinjauan pustakaAbstract
Abstrak
Data deret waktu digunakan secara luas di berbagai industri. Namun, proses klasifikasi ini sering kali terhambat oleh tren, musiman, dan fluktuasi kompleks yang ada dalam data. Facebook Prophet adalah salah satu model peramalan deret waktu yang efektif untuk menangkap pola tren dan musiman. Akan tetapi, model ini tidak dirancang sebagai algoritma klasifikasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji secara kritis bagaimana Prophet dimanfaatkan untuk mendukung kegiatan klasifikasi terkait data deret waktu melalui studi tinjauan literatur. Metode yang diterapkan adalah tinjauan literatur terhadap 30 artikel ilmiah terbitan dari berbagai bidang aplikasi yang bekerja dalam periode 2020–2025. Temuan studi menunjukkan bahwa Prophet terutama digunakan pada tahap awal peramalan untuk menangkap pola tren dan musiman. Model ini menghasilkan residu yang kemudian diolah dengan berbagai metode seperti ambang batas, berbasis aturan, atau pemodelan ensemble, dikombinasikan dengan metode seperti Decision Tree (DT); serta metode deep learning seperti LSTM dan algoritma peningkatan gradien seperti LightGBM, bersama dengan pendekatan hibrida. Teknik-teknik tersebut berhasil meningkatkan kinerja klasifikasi data terutama ketika bekerja dengan pola yang sangat periodik. Namun, semua ini datang dengan biaya kompleksitas dan komputasi yang lebih tinggi. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa Prophet memainkan peran penting dalam klasifikasi data, meskipun metode lanjutan deret waktu perlu diadopsi sesuai dengan karakteristik data dan tujuan analisis.
Downloads
References
Daftar Pustaka
A, S., Christo, M. S., & Elizabeth, J. V. (2025). A hybrid approach to time series forecasting: Integrating ARIMA and prophet for improved accuracy. Results in Engineering, 27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.105703
Aditya Satrio, C. B., Darmawan, W., Nadia, B. U., & Hanafiah, N. (2021). Time series analysis and forecasting of coronavirus disease in Indonesia using ARIMA model and PROPHET. Procedia Computer Science, 179, 524–532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2021.01.036
Ali, M., Alqahtani, A., Jones, M. W., & Xie, X. (2019). Clustering and Classification for Time Series Data in Visual Analytics: A Survey. In IEEE Access (Vol. 7, pp. 181314–181338). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2958551
Anuradha, P., Usha, V., Naga Lakshman, K., Tejaswi, P. L., Anusha, T., & Sundari, P. N. (2023). Comparison of Time-Series Forecasting Models based on Prophets for Predicting Rainfall. International Conference on Self Sustainable Artificial Intelligence Systems, ICSSAS 2023 - Proceedings, 1542–1545. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSSAS57918.2023.10331809
Arslan, S. (2022). A hybrid forecasting model using LSTM and Prophet for energy consumption with decomposition of time series data. PeerJ Computer Science, 8. https://doi.org/10.7717/PEERJ-CS.1001
Atamimi, F. M. H., Wintanti, W., & Abdillah, G. (2025). Enhanching Prophet Time Series Forecasting on Sparse Data via Hyperparameter Optimizattion: A Case Study in Retail. Sinkron, 9(2), 1000–1007. https://doi.org/10.33395/sinkron.v9i2.14804
Bhatta, S. R., Adhikari, P., & Byanjankar, R. (2020). Choice of Regression Models in Time Series Data. Economic Journal of Development Issues, 101–129. https://doi.org/10.3126/ejdi.v30i1-2.46058
Chakraborty, P., Corici, M., & Magedanz, T. (n.d.). A comparative study for Time Series Forecasting within software 5G networks.
Desi Syafitri, E., Nasution, N., Zamsuri, A., Ramadila, H., Ilmu Komputer Universitas Lancang Kuning, M., & Yos Sudarso, J. K. (n.d.). Prediksi Penjualan Skincare Bulanan Menggunakan Arima, Sarima, Dan Prophet. 4(1), 270–279.
Duarte, D., & Faerman, J. (2019). Comparison of Time Series Prediction of Healthcare Emergency Department Indicators with ARIMA and Prophet. 123–133. https://doi.org/10.5121/csit.2019.91810
Esro, M., Subramaniam, S. K., Ibrahim, A. F. T., Kumar, Y. J., Anas, S. A., & Rajkumar, S. (2025). A Comparative Analysis of Time-Series Models of ARIMA and Prophet IoT-Based Flood Forecasting in Sungai Melaka. Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology, 7(4). https://doi.org/10.26877/asset.v7i4.1048
Evranata Pardede, E., Tri Anggraeny, F., & Junaidi, A. (2025). Prophet-LightGBM Hybrid Model Implementation in Cafe Menu Sales Prediction Implementasi Model Hybrid Prophet-LightGBM dalam Prediksi Penjualan Menu Kafe. 9(4).
Hasnain, A., Sheng, Y., Hashmi, M. Z., Bhatti, U. A., Hussain, A., Hameed, M., Marjan, S., Bazai, S. U., Hossain, M. A., Sahabuddin, M., Wagan, R. A., & Zha, Y. (2022). Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of Air Pollutants Based on Prophet Forecasting Model in Jiangsu Province, China. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.945628
Hidayat, K., Witanti, W., Ramadhan, E., Sains Dan Informatika, F., & Jenderal Achmad Yani, U. (n.d.). Analisis Tren dan Prediksi Penjualan Restoran Menggunakan Model Time Series Prophet. 9, 2025. https://doi.org/10.47002/metik.v9i2.1101
Hidayat, Y., Handoko, B., & Pradjanata, Y. (2025). Rainfall Forecasting in Central Lombok Using an Enhanced Facebook Prophet Model with Multiplicative Seasonality. Organic Farming, 11(3), 173–184. https://doi.org/10.56578/of110303
Hossain, M. A., Rahman, M. M., Hasan, S. S., Mahmud, A., & Bai, L. (2025). Analysis and forecasting of meteorological drought using PROPHET and SARIMA models deploying machine learning technique for southwestern region of Bangladesh. Environmental and Sustainability Indicators, 27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2025.100761
Hu, C., Sun, Z., Li, C., Zhang, Y., & Xing, C. (2023). Survey of Time Series Data Generation in IoT. In Sensors (Vol. 23, Number 15). Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI). https://doi.org/10.3390/s23156976
Jange, B., Studi, P., Akuntansi, K., & Riau, D. (2021). Prediksi Harga Saham Bank BCA Menggunakan Prophet. In Journal of Trends Economics and Accounting Research (Vol. 2, Number 1).
Khair, N. I., Ruslan, R., & Agusrawati, A. (2025). Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method. Jurnal Matematika, Statistika Dan Komputasi, 21(3), 832–846. https://doi.org/10.20956/j.v21i3.43563
Li, D., Ma, J., Rao, K., Wang, X., Li, R., Yang, Y., & Zheng, H. (2023). Prediction of Rainfall Time Series Using the Hybrid DWT-SVR-Prophet Model. Water (Switzerland), 15(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/w15101935
Liço, L., Enesi, I., & Jaiswal, H. (2021). Predicting Customer Behavior Using Prophet Algorithm In A Real Time Series Dataset. European Scientific Journal ESJ, 17(25). https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2021.v17n25p10
Muzakki, M. A., Azra Sabila, M., Sundari, S., Wisnuadhi, B., Komputer, J. T., Informatika, D., Bandung, N., & Barat, K. B. (2021). Prosiding The 12 th Industrial Research Workshop and National Seminar Bandung.
Oo, Z. Z., & Phyu, S. (2020). Time Series Prediction Based on Facebook Prophet: A Case Study, Temperature Forecasting in Myintkyina. International Journal of Applied Mathematics Electronics and Computers, 8(4), 263–267. https://doi.org/10.18100/ijamec.816894
Puziem, A. S., Diawuo, F. A., Acheampong, P., Anabadongo, M. A., & Abdulai, D. (2025). Time series forecast of power output of a 50MWp solar farm in Ghana. Solar Compass, 14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solcom.2025.100111
Rahman, D., Rachmatin, D., & Marwati, R. (n.d.). Peramalan dan dekomposisi untuk mata uang kripto dengan model facebook prophet (Forecasting and decomposition of cryptocurrency price using facebook prophet). In Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (Vol. 24, Number 1). Retrieved https://jurnal.unej.ac.id/index.php/MIMS/index
Ramadita, M., Mahmudi, & Wijaya, M. Y. (2024). Prediksi Curah Hujan di DKI Jakarta Menggunakan Model Hybrid (DWT-SVR-Prophet). The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science, 13(5). https://doi.org/10.33022/ijcs.v13i5.4357
Rizky Aulia Hrp, M., Hasanah, M., Juanda Sitepu, F., & Hasudungan Lubis, A. (2025). Prediksi Harga Emas Antam dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Prophet Melalui Optimasi Hyperparameter Menggunakan Bat Algorithm. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Teknologi Komputer Dan Sains, 3(1), 394–405. https://prosiding.seminars.id/sainteks
Samal, K. K. R., Babu, K. S., Das, S. K., & Acharaya, A. (2019). Time series based air pollution forecasting using SARIMA and prophet model. ACM International Conference Proceeding Series, 80–85. https://doi.org/10.1145/3355402.3355417
Sangaji, D., Sutabri, T., Jend, J. A., Yani, N., 0711-515582 Palembang, T., & Selatan, S. (2024). Optimalisasi Prediksi Indeks Kualitas Air di Indonesia dengan Menggunakan Machine Learning Melalui Pendekatan Metode Prophet. (2), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.62951/switch.v2i6.277
Shanmugam, D. B., Kavitha, P. M., Pazhanivelrajan, M., Ganth, S. P., & Babu, D. (n.d.). Engineering and Scientific International Journal (ESIJ) Time Series Prediction Grounded on Neural Prophet-Temperature Forecasting. https://doi.org/10.30726/esij/v10.i1.2023.101003
Sharma, K., Bhalla, R., & Ganesan, G. (n.d.). Time Series Forecasting Using FB-Prophet.
Sunki, A., SatyaKumar, C., Surya Narayana, G., Koppera, V., & Hakeem, M. (2024). Time series forecasting of stock market using ARIMA, LSTM and FB prophet. MATEC Web of Conferences, 392, 01163. https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/202439201163
Wiejaya, A., & Fenriana, I. (2024). Prediksi Harga Saham Top 10 NASDAQ dengan Time Series Prophet. Bit-Tech, 7(2), 252–262. https://doi.org/10.32877/bt.v7i2.1736
Zuliarso, S. 1 E. (2025). Decade Rainfall Prediction Using Prophet Algorithm And Lstm (Case Study In Banjarnegara Regency) Prediksi Curah Hujan Dasarian Menggunakan Algoritma Prophet Dan Lstm (Studi Kasus Di Kabupaten Banjarnegara). 10(3).